Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.828193 0.967208 1.122127 1.307550 1.523468 1.766999 2.062611
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.593079 0.773648 0.997737 1.296228 1.683551 2.169451 2.826008
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.467871 0.660476 0.918566 1.289612 1.809691 2.513460 3.539829
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.391111 0.588729 0.870571 1.301682 1.945003 2.870684 4.306919
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.320665 0.510279 0.795692 1.256330 1.981958 3.082977 4.885161
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.296196 0.495260 0.809631 1.341825 2.221542 3.620843 6.022872
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.251889 0.440724 0.752343 1.303474 2.255571 3.836805 6.671943
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.214939 0.392221 0.696936 1.258149 2.268066 4.013683 7.272267
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.185566 0.352211 0.649763 1.218966 2.283127 4.192473 7.893519
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.169601 0.334039 0.638350 1.241600 2.410599 4.582865 8.945155
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.163179 0.332825 0.657576 1.323395 2.658099 5.221734 10.544815
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.152300 0.321198 0.655137 1.362194 2.826190 5.728463 11.950041
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.138651 0.302485 0.637193 1.369363 2.935856 6.142253 13.241331
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.124796 0.281426 0.611816 1.357940 3.006219 6.487061 14.440656
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.113106 0.263325 0.590099 1.351035 3.084607 6.857199 15.742846
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.104361 0.250539 0.578087 1.363679 3.207261 7.336867 17.351361
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.092308 0.228316 0.541980 1.316176 3.186089 7.493892 18.240817
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.090695 0.230821 0.563007 1.405726 3.497945 8.448878 21.139318
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.081164 0.212445 0.532199 1.365556 3.491255 8.655671 22.250221
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.072328 0.194564 0.500234 1.318081 3.459857 8.798405 23.219844
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.064833 0.179106 0.472290 1.277039 3.439205 8.964648 24.271693
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.061251 0.173624 0.469178 1.300747 3.591022 9.586651 26.605712
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.060698 0.176403 0.488120 1.386422 3.920547 10.711132 30.446442